As of 11PM Noel is still over Cuba and has slowed down to almost a crawl. Over the past couple of hours Noel has been moving erratically but an overall average motion is towards the NW near 5 mph. At this time it seems the westward motion has ended.
With this current motion and the jet stream preparing to dip into the Gulf of Mexico this should end Noel's westward march and allow the storm to be picked up and taken out to see. For this reason I am forecasting Noel not to come ashore in Florida. The main impacts from Noel should be coastal flooding, windy conditions and very quick moving scattered showers on Halloween. At this moment I do not think that Halloween will be a washout :) But it will be windy.
Since the storm is still to our south we must continue to watch Noel and make sure the forecast verifies, so please check back here and at twitter.com/howpomp
Also for those of you wondering about school on Wednesday, at this time all school systems will be open.
Have a nice night.
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