Rainbow

Not much rain here in north Broward but here is a nice rainbow as seen from Deerfield Beach.
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More Rain Today

From this morning's forecast discussion:

"SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AND BECOMING FOCUSED
INTERIOR/ATLANTIC COAST THIS AFTERNOON...
..THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS EAST COAST
AND AS THEY MOVE OUT INTO THE ADJACENT WATERS..."

We are off to a dry start here in northern Broward but that will change going into the afternoon. Be prepared for some storminess if you are headed out.
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TD1 Advisory #1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012009
1100 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT
PASSED TO THE EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS YESTERDAY HAS BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION...THE FIRST OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT
310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND AND ABOUT 635
MILES...1020 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
THE DEPRESSION IS NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THEN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE
OVER COLDER WATERS BY SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...37.3N 71.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

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Depressin Number One Forms in the Atlantic

Off the coast of North Carolina. Advisory to come shortly.
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Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1012 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2009

COUNTY SPECIFIC MESSAGE:

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST PALM BEACH AND
NORTHEAST BROWARD COUNTIES...

AT 1005 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM COCONUT CREEK TO NEAR BOCA
RATON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. A REPORT WAS RECEIVED OF 53 MPH
AT 944 AM IN DEERFIELD BEACH. IN ADDITION, DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES
3 TO 5 INCHES WHICH WOULD INDICATE PONDING OF ROADWAYS AND
INTERSECTIONS.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...

FAU SOUTH CAMPUS...
BOCA WEST...
MISSION BAY...
SOUTH COUNTY REGIONAL PARK...
WHISPER WALK...
MORIKAMI PARK...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

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A Rainy Night

A rainy evening continues through the night. For most of northeast Broward the rain held off until about 5PM and it has rained almost ever since. As of 11PM Pompano has reported 2.23 inches of rain today.

As far as the low south of the central Bahamas, the NHC is planning on sending out a reconnaissance aircraft tomorrow to investigate the system. Below you will find the latest models on the system. Please keep in mind if the system were to develop, which there is less than a 30% chance of the occurring, intensity models do keep it well below hurricane strength.

I will post more tomorrow.

From the NHC

Here is the statement from the NHC from this afternoon. I will have more information later including model runs.

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...IF NECESSARY.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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Early Season System?

Very quick post for now and I will expand on it tomorrow. Just looked at some of the models and a couple of them are indicating a closed low developing in the Gulf of Mexico sometime between late Monday into Wednesday. Way too early to say but we do have a cold front that should stall over central Florida late tomorrow and tropical moisture over the Caribbean that will be drawn up over our area during the next few days (remember rainy season is here). Sea surface temperatures are in the upper 70s to low 80s in the area so there are several reasons to watch this area.

More updates tomorrow, good night.

Rainy Season has Begun

Officially from the NWS:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
305 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

...RAINY SEASON HAS BEGUN OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...

AS A RESULT OF THE DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEK, AS WELL AS THE EXPECTATION OF ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MIAMI FORECAST OFFICE HAS DECLARED MAY 11 AS THE BEGINNING OF THE
2009 RAINY SEASON. THIS IS 9 DAYS EARLIER THAN THE MEDIAN START
DATE OF MAY 20 (ABOUT ONE WEEK LATER ALONG THE GULF COAST AND THE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION), AS WELL AS THE EARLIEST START TO THE RAINY
SEASON SINCE 2003. THE EARLY START TO THE RAINY SEASON IS QUITE
WELCOME THIS YEAR DUE TO THE EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS BEING
EXPERIENCED OVER MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE RECENTLY CONCLUDED
DRY SEASON OF 2008-2009 RANKED AS THE SECOND DRIEST DRY SEASON ON
RECORD FOR MOST SOUTH FLORIDA LOCALES, WITH ONLY 1971 BEING DRIER.

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Dr. Gray Predicts a One-in-Three Chance that Florida Will be Struck by a Hurricane

Here is the story from the Sun-Sentinel.

Funnel Clouds Off Boca this Morning

Thanks to Patrick Garmon for sending in these pictures from this morning. These funnel clouds/waterspouts were taken from the Yamato Road/Glades Road areas from Boca Raton looking east. Boca Raton air tower also observed these funnel clouds at 8:18am according a Special Marine Warning issued from the NWS in Miami.

The possiblity of waterspouts were noted in this morning's Harazrdous Weather Outlook issued at 3:44am this morning.

Speaking of funnels, the Vortex2 mission is now in day four. This has been covered widely on The Weather Channel and CNN. Today has been the first day they have been able to encounter severe weather and The Weather Channel has been giving them quite a bit of time. If you have the oppurtunity please tune in. It is very interesting to see how much equipment is being deployed to investigate tornadic developement.

Last but not least for tonight, we have less than 20 days before hurricane season begins. Of course that is when this blog becomes more active. This is the time that all of us should begin our preperations.