At 11PM Noel was located at 21.2/75.0 moving NW near 13 mph. Max winds are 50mph with a minimum pressure of 1000mb.
Tropical storm watch could be issued tomorrow morning depending how Noel behaves overnight.
Currently there is about a 30% chance of tropical storm force winds to affect southeast Florida.
There have been no dramatic changes in any of the available models so as I go to bed tonight my previous forecast stands. In the morning there may be some adjusting of this though.
Have a good night.
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