TD16 was upgraded to Tropical storm Noel this afternoon in a special advisory at 2PM. Currently winds are up to 60mph as the system moves NNW at 4mph. Minimum pressure is estimated at 996mb.
The future of the storm is very uncertain. There are two main possibilities. The first follows the official forecast and brings the storm through the Bahamas out into the open Atlantic. The second possibility is that Noel meanders around Cuba for the next five days.
There will be a recon flight reaching Noel around 2am and hopefully the overnight model runs may bring some clarity to the eventual track of Noel.
Guess we will see you tomorrow.
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