Interesting weather information pertaining mostly to south Florida.

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Stronger Worded Warnings

Interesting article from the Sun-Sentinel, sounds like the NWS will be a bit more aggresive in their language in warnings (tornado and hurricane) when lives are in danger.

sun-sentinel.com/services/newspaper/printedition/local/sfl-flbwarning0310sbmar10,0,7195240.story

By Ken Kaye

South Florida Sun-Sentinel

March 10, 2009

When hurricanes, tornadoes and severe storms threaten, there's one message forecasters want residents to know: If they don't get out of harm's way, their lives could be in danger.

For that reason, the National Weather Service plans to better describe the most perilous aspects of a storm, be they winds, rain or storm surge, and place them at the top of local forecasts.

"It's not necessarily an overhaul. It's just better focusing the information we want the public to really get," said meteorologist Robert Molleda, who is based in the Miami office of the weather service.

Molleda said the change stems from Hurricane Ike, which slammed Galveston and Houston last September. Some of the local weather advisories "buried" information urging people to evacuate, he said.

At least 12 people died along the Galveston shoreline where the system's storm surge hit, according to the National Hurricane Center.

In another weather disaster, the February 2008 Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak, many residents failed to evacuate because they didn't believe they were under threat until they saw a twister. In all, 82 tornadoes killed 57 people, with most of the deaths in Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama and Tennessee.

After that outbreak, the weather service found that many residents don't sense peril based on forecasts alone.

The agency also discovered that many people minimized the threat because they had "optimism bias," thinking bad things only happen to other people.

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