Tonight at the 8PM advisory the NHC upgraded Felix to a hurricane. Track models are unanimous in taking Felix towards the west and into the Yucatan Peninsula. Intensity models are all over the place. The GFNI and HWFI weaken the storm to a minimal tropical storm over the next few days while the LGEM and SHIPS takes it a mjor hurricane in three days.
Conditions appear very favorable for strengthening and the official forecast brings Felix up to a major hurricane in four days. Some of the last visible images indicated that an eye feature was becoming present.
Elsewhere there is another system I am watching in the mid-Atlantic. This system was looking better this afternoon but the latest IR images are not very impressive so we will see what happens overnight.
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