At this point it looks like it. The models have been extremely consistent and very agreeable with one another on Dean. Usually over a 24 hour period at least one of the major models will give some doubt to the others but in this case this has not happened. The GFDL did have a run that brought the center out of the consensus but it came back in line on the next run.
So we should see a category two hurricane strike the Lesser Antilles tonight and tomorrow and a category four hurricane near Jamaica on Sunday.
Please remember anytime we have a storm to our east and/or south we must always keep an eye on it. Actually that goes for any storm out there.
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