Hot Sunday Coming Up

After a rainy afternoon in northeast Broward the skies have cleared and we are looking at a very nice but warm/hot weekend. We had over an inch of rain here and this heavy rain prompted an Urban Flood Advisory.

Highs this weekend will be upper 80s tomorrow and lower 90s on Sunday which will be the warmest weather so far this year and possible record highs for the day.

Also there appears to have been a tornado to touch down in Atlanta tonight. You can find live reports at www.cnn.com especially since CNN did have some windows blow out due to the storm.

Heaviest Rain Offshore

The bulk of the activity is now offshore. This morning we had .26 inches of rain, mostly between 6 and 7am. No severe weather was noted in the area though a Special Marine Warning was issued for the near shore waters and that expired at 7:30am.

For the remainder of the day we will see skies clear slowly with a very slight chance of more rain. Breezy with highs around 78F.

Slight Chance of Severe Weather After Midnight

According to the SPC there is a slight chance of severe weather over Broward and Palm Beach counties through 7am. Currently Palm Beach county is in a Tornado Watch. The line of thunderstorms is weakening slightly and should not be as severe as it has been through the rest of the state by the time it gets here. I am expecting some isolated severe weather though.

So far today there have been 15 reported tornadoes over northern Florida and southeastern Georgia. Two were killed by the tornadoes in Columbia county and one injured in Leon county.

Keep the weather radio on overnight and look for a recap in the morning.

Also there weather Twitter will be on in case of interesting weather.

Update

Just a quick update to the blog. Added a chat option and voice call option. Feel free to try them out and let me know what you think.

Also for those of you who emailed me about the wind data, it is now updating!!

More later,
howpomp

Funnel Cloud this Morning

On my way out to check on the campus this morning I spotted and called in (under the Skywarn program) a funnel cloud off the coast of Boca Raton around 9:25am. It did not touch the surface and lasted about 3 minutes. I was not the first to call it in but it did help the NWS issue the following Marine Weather Statement:

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
931 AM EST THU FEB 21 2008

AMZ650-211500-
931 AM EST THU FEB 21 2008
 
..MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM EST

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA...
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM

AT 928 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SHOWER...PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS ABOUT 2 NM EAST OF BOCA
RATON....MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS.

THE PUBLIC REPORTED SEEING A FUNNEL CLOUD WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. REMAIN ON THE ALERT IN
CASE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR WATERSPOUT DEVELOPMENT.

We do have a nice weekend in store with a few showers and a chance of a
thunderstorm.  Highs will continue to be above normal in the low 80s.

As we go into next week there is a good chance that a strong cold front
will come through the area.  The front could bring some strong weather and a
very noticeable cool down.  Check back through the weekend as this possible weather
event begins to unfold.

Warmer tha Usual

Beautiful weekend going on in south Florida with higher than normal temperatures and rain free. As we go into Sunday and Monday we will see an increase in shower activity, especially Monday as a cold front approaches the area followed by a cool down. Tuesday we will see highs in the mid 70s and lows in the lower 60s which is about 10 degrees warmer than we have had.

Also an note about the observations you see here on the blog and on www.wunderground.com the wind instruments have been moved and secured a bit better in hopes of having better wind information. The only draw back to the relocation was that the instruments were lowered about a foot. I will monitor over th next week to see if the data quality improves or not.

Have a great night.

Two Confirmed Tornadoes in Broward

There were two tornadoes that touched down in Ft. Lauderdale last night which spawned a Tornado Warning for our area. No injuries and both were EF-0 in intensity.

It was very different to have such a warm wind blowing with the rain and lightning around. Overall we had 1.98 inches of rain yesterday and over an inch today with the frontal passage.

The weather will be tranquil tomorrow and we should some showers as we go into the weekend. Another front will sweep through on Monday.

Severe Weather Potential

SPC has now stated that the potential for severe weather over southeast Florida will increase today and into tonight. In their words:

POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE
OVERNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN AND HODOGRAPHS ENLARGE.
HAVE OPTED TO INCREASE TORNADO PROBABILITIES OVER THE SOUTHEAST
PENINSULA FOR LATE TONIGHT...WHEN/WHERE MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS TO
SHOW GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS.

Possible Rough Weather Ahead

Looks as if we will have some strong to severe weather coming in tomorrow and Wednesday. This is associated with a warm front moving north over the area tomorrow while an impulse from the Gulf of Mexico moves towards the east. Upper level winds, at this time, look to be conducive for thunderstorms, possible super cells and isolated tornadoes.

Then on Wednesday as a cold front sweeps through models are indicating that a squall line may develop and with the timing with the heating of the day we may again see severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting that southeast Florida, specifically south of Palm Beach could see the strongest activity with the interaction of the squall line with the sea breeze front.

Here is part of the Hazardous Weather Outlook from this evening:

TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY 

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK: A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH  
FLORIDA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG OR EVEN SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THIS FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE  
AREA. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES, ALONG WITH GUSTY  
WINDS. 

ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD  
IMPACT THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY, AHEAD OF AND ALONG A COLD FRONT  
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS  
TIME, IT APPEARS THAT THE PRIMARY IMPACTS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE  
DAMAGING WINDS. 

THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST, BUT RESIDENTS AND  
VISITORS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES ON  
THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION AS SEVERE WEATHER COULD AFFECT THE  
AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

Please keep updated on the conditions tomorrow and Wednesday.

Possible Strong/Severe Storms Tuesday Night

After a long delay I am back to updating the blog so thanks for coming back and looking. This will be a quick update to mention some interesting weather associated with a cold front that could occur Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Models have been indicating this possibility for the past 36 hours and the SPC has put us in the "Slight" category for the Day 3 Outlook.

Check back tomorrow for further information.

Dense Fog Advisory

Until 4 am for most of south Florida.

Cool and Damp Morning

Waking up to 58F and light showers.

This is also a test message.

Yes it Did Snow in Florida this Morning

We had a low of 37F this morning as the cold air took hold of the state. There was snowfall in the Daytona Beach area due to the expected shift in winds from the northeast.

Here is the temperature table for south Florida this morning:

:                                  HIGH    LOW     PCPN
:
:APALACHICOLA             :AAF      46 /    26 /   0.00
:BROOKSVILLE              :BKV      52 /    26 /   0.00
:CRESTVIEW                :CEW      46 /    21 /   0.00
:CROSS CITY               :CTY      48 /    19 /   0.00
:DAYTONA BEACH            :DAB      52 /    32 /     T
:DESTIN                   :DTS      45 /    25 /   0.00
:FORT LAUDERDALE INTL     :FLL      57 /    39 /     T
:FORT LAUDERDALE EXEC     :FXE      56 /    37 /     T
:FORT MYERS               :FMY      59 /    32 /   0.00
:FORT MYERS / SW REG AP   :RSW      57 /    30 /   0.00
:FORT PIERCE              :FPR      57 /    34 /     T
:GAINESVILLE              :GNV      47 /    22 /   0.00
:JACKSONVILLE             :JAX      43 /    25 /   0.00
:KEY WEST                 :EYW      61 /    45 /   0.00
:LEESBURG                 :LEE      52 /    30 /   0.00
:MARATHON                 :MTH      63 /    43 /   0.00
:MARIANNA                 :MAI      44 /    22 /   0.00
:MELBOURNE                :MLB      57 /    34 /     T
:MIAMI                    :MIA      60 /    39 /   0.00
:NAPLES                   :APF      61 /    34 /     T
:OPA LOCKA                :OPF      59 /    37 /     T
:ORLANDO INTL             :MCO      54 /    31 /   0.00
:ORLANDO EXEC             :ORL      53 /    31 /   0.00
:PANAMA CITY              :PFN      47 /    25 /   0.00
:PEMBROKE PINES           :HWO      57 /    37 /     T
:PENSACOLA                :PNS      45 /    23 /   0.00
:POMPANO BEACH            :PMP      61 /    37 /     T
:PUNTA GORDA              :PGD      58 /    30 /   0.00
:SANFORD                  :SFB      53 /    32 /   0.00
:SARASOTA / BRADENTON     :SRQ      56 /    32 /   0.00
:ST. PETERSBURG           :SPG      53 /    34 /   0.00
:ST. PETERSBURG/CLEARWATER:PIE      53 /    31 /   0.00
:TALLAHASSEE              :TLH      46 /    25 /   0.00
:TAMPA                    :TPA      54 /    29 /   0.00
:VERO BEACH               :VRB      57 /    33 /   0.01
:WINTER HAVEN             :GIF      53 /    29 /   0.00
:W KENDALL TAMIAMI AP     :TMB      60 /    35 /   0.00
:WEST PALM BEACH          :PBI      60 /    35 /     T

And here are a couple articles about today's snow and cold effects:

Snow in Florida
Freezing Lizards

Finally, here is the statement and LSR from NWS Melbourne about the snow:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
815 AM EST THU JAN 3 2008

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-031500-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-ST. LUCIE-
815 AM EST THU JAN 3 2008

...FLURRIES OCCURRING ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...

THE COLD TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS
ARE PRODUCING OCEAN EFFECT SNOW FLURRIES OFFSHORE AND ALONG THE EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST. FLURRIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN
VOLUSIA COUNTY NEAR HOLLY HILL AND ORMOND BEACH...AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR ADDITIONAL FLURRIES EXISTS FROM BREVARD COUNTY SOUTHWARD THROUGH
INDIAN RIVER...ST LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES AS RADAR ECHOES APPROACH
THE COAST. THESE FLURRIES MAY CONTINUE INTO THE LATE MORNING BEFORE
CHANGING OVER TO VERY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. NO ACCUMULATION OF SNOW
IS EXPECTED. THE LAST TIME FLURRIES WERE REPORTED IN EAST CENTRAL

________________________________________________________________________

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1009 AM EST THU JAN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
           ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     SNOW             DAYTONA BEACH           29.21N 81.03W
01/03/2008  E0.0 INCH        VOLUSIA            FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

           SNOW FLURRIES REPORTED FROM PORT ORANGE NORTH TO DAYTONA
           BEACH AND ORMOND BEACH. SEVERAL REPORTS RECEIVED OF
           FLURRIES STARTING APPROXIMATELY 730 AM IN ORMOND BEACH
           AND STILL BEING OCCURRING AS OF 0905 AM IN PORT ORANGE.
           REPORTS RECEIVED FROM OBSERVER...SPOTTERS AND VIA NEWS
           CHANNEL 13.

0730 AM     SNOW             DAYTONA BEACH           29.21N 81.03W
01/03/2008  E0.0 INCH        VOLUSIA            FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

           SEVERAL REPORTS OF SNOW FLURRIES FROM ORMOND BEACH TO
           DAYTONA BEACH AND PORT ORANGE. FIRST FLURRY REPORTS AT
           APPROXIMATELY 730 AM IN ORMOND BEACH AND STILL OCCURRING
           AS OF 905 AM IN PORT ORANGE. SNOW FLURRY REPORTS WERE
           RECEIVED FROM DAYTONA BEACH OBSERVER...SPOTTERS AND VIA
           NEWS CHANNEL 13.

0900 AM     SNOW             2 NNW SCOTTSMOOR        28.79N 80.89W
01/03/2008  E0.0 INCH        VOLUSIA            FL   CO-OP OBSERVER

           SNOW FLURRIES REPORTED AT APPROXIMATELY 9 AM IN NORTHERN
           BREVARD COUNTY NEAR THE TOWN OF SCOTTSMOOR.

0930 AM     SNOW             SHARPES                 28.43N 80.77W
01/03/2008  E0.0 INCH        BREVARD            FL   PUBLIC

           SNOW FLURRIES REPORTED NORTH OF COCOA IN SHARPES AT
           APPROXIMATELY 930 AM.

FLORIDA WAS JANUARY 24TH IN 2003.

Happy New Years and It Will be Cold

By now you know it is cold. Currently 42F in Pompano and 45F here at weather central. My forecast low for the airport (PMP) is 36F and there will be patchy frost around.

Interesting discussion from the NWS in Miami. In the past 40 years or so there have only been two other occasions where there has been such a thick layer of cold here at the bottom of the atmosphere in south Florida. The great freeze of 1977 and in 1989. Pretty interesting since that was the year it snowed in Miami/Pompano Beach (1977) and 1989 was the last time there was any mention of flurries in south Florida which did not occur.

Stay warm and I will be back tomorrow with a recap of the cold.

Cooling Off

The cold front came through today with no real impact. Some rain and wind but nothing severe. This will be the first of two cool nights so there will be plenty to enjoy.

Cold Front Approaching

Going to bed in a minute so a very quick update. Cold front is moving across the state and a tornado watch is in effect for parts north of Orlando.

Will do quick updates on Twitter tomorrow with a more complete update tomorrow night.

Olga Now an Open Wave

As of 10PM Olga is now an open wave. This should now conclude the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season. I will put out a recap in the over the weekend. Just for fun though here is one last model map for Olga.

The weekend's weather is looking very interesting at this point. Tomorrow and Friday we will see an increase in moisture due to an inverted trough associated with Olga coming over us. This will be followed by a fairly strong cold front brining the coldest weather so far in December for south Florida. Lows on Sunday and Monday night I am forecasting to be in the upper 50s.

Tomorrow I will post on the chances for some stronger weather in connection with the cold front on Saturday/Sunday.

Olga is Weakening and Possible Interesting Weather

Olga is looking pretty weak right now and may be downgraded later today. Also looking like we may coold down on Sunday but not before some interesting Weather sweeps across on Saturday. I will have more pneumonia both of these topics later today. Stay tuned.

Olga Now a Tropical Storm and an Interesting Model Map

A recon aircraft checked out Olga this evening and found that she has acquired tropical characteristics with winds of 60 MPH.

I posted tonight's model map to watch the evolution of the track of Olga. The dynamical models continue with the west to WSW path while the other models now indicate a gradual recurvature. Though the official forecast still indicates weakening it would not be impossible for Olga to get caught up in a frontal passage this weekend and track towards the northeast.

It is too early to count Florida out of this equation so check back tomorrow for more updates.

Make that Subtropical Storm Olga

At 10PM located at 18.5N and 65.3W which is about 55 miles east of San Juan. Olga is moving towards the west at 15mph with maximum winds of 40mph. Minimum pressure is estimated at 1006mb.

The future track of Olga is generally west then WSW over Haiti, there will not be much a chance to strengthen.

I will update more in the morning or sooner if there is anything else to add.

Have a great night.